Principle
Raise Productivity For Long-Run Progress
Formulation
Prioritize raising productivity because long-run living standards depend on producing more value, not merely borrowing or spending more.
Use When
Use this when distinguishing durable improvement from temporary financial expansion.
Do Not Use When
Do not use this to ignore short-run credit conditions. Dalio's framework says credit matters greatly in the short run.
Source Support
Dalio states this directly in the closing rules around 00:29:42-00:30:16 and develops the productivity-growth mechanism around 00:06:21-00:07:55.